MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. (MTSI)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Record quarter: Revenue $252.1M (+32.3% Y/Y, +6.9% Q/Q), GAAP gross margin 55.3%, adjusted EPS $0.90; all at or above guidance ranges and reflecting broad-based strength across Industrial & Defense and Data Center end markets .
- Slight beats vs S&P Global consensus: Revenue $252.1M vs $249.9M*; adjusted EPS $0.90 vs $0.897*; beats driven by record IND and Data Center revenues and healthy book-to-bill (>1.1x) with record backlog. Book-to-bill >1.1x; turns ~17% of revenue . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Q4 FY25 guide points to new records despite a ~60 bps gross margin headwind from early RTP fab transfer: Revenue $256–$264M, adj. GM 56–58%, adj. EPS $0.91–$0.95 (3% tax; ~76.5M fully diluted shares); expecting +5% Q/Q growth in Data Center and IND, Telecom slightly down .
- Strategic drivers: 200G-per-lane photodetectors in high-volume production; first 100G LPO chipset production order; GaN4 sampling to major customers; accelerated control of RTP GaN-on-SiC fab with capacity expansion plan (+30% in 12–15 months) .
- Balance sheet remains a strength: Cash and short-term investments $735.2M; net cash >$235M vs converts; Q3 CFO ~$60.4M; Capex $8.8M with FY25 capex now $40–$45M .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record revenues and mix: New quarterly record revenue ($252.1M) with record IND and Data Center; end-market mix IND $108.2M, Data Center $75.8M, Telecom $68.1M; book-to-bill >1.1x and record backlog. CEO: “Our results demonstrate the growing competitiveness of MACOM’s diverse product portfolio” .
- Product ramps and wins: 200G-per-lane photodetectors moved to high-volume production; first 100G-per-lane LPO chipset production order; expecting record 200G-per-lane product revenue in Q4 .
- Strategic fab control accelerated: Assumed full operational control of RTP GaN-on-SiC fab ~6 months early; plan to expand capacity by up to 30% within 12–15 months to support future program wins .
What Went Wrong
- Gross margin headwind: Early RTP conveyance created a near-term
60 bps gross margin dilution ($1.5M in Q4), delaying trajectory toward 60%+ gross margin; Lowell fab underutilization (industrial softness) also a drag . - Operating expense drift: Adjusted OpEx stepped up to $81.7M in Q3 (R&D hiring, foundry and variable comp) though management emphasized discipline as scale increases .
- Telecom near-term: Guide calls Telecom “slightly down” sequentially in Q4 (after strong run-rate); management attributes to backlog timing rather than fundamentals; full-year Telecom +~40% Y/Y expected .
Financial Results
Summary P&L (GAAP and Non-GAAP)
Notes: Q1 FY25 GAAP EPS includes $193.1M loss on extinguishment of debt from convertible note refinancing .
Q3 FY25 vs S&P Global Consensus
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
End-Market Revenue Breakdown ($M)
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Non-GAAP adjustments (policy)
Non-GAAP results exclude amortization of intangibles, share-based comp, non-cash interest, acquisition/integration costs, loss on debt extinguishment, and related tax effects. Management uses a 3% non-GAAP tax rate in FY24 and first three quarters of FY25 .
Guidance Changes
Reference (for context, achieved vs prior quarter’s Q3 guide): Q3 FY25 was guided to Revenue $246–$254M, adj. GM 56.5–58.5%, adj. EPS $0.87–$0.91; actuals came in within those ranges (Revenue $252.1M; adj. GM 57.6%; adj. EPS $0.90) .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO on Q3 performance and positioning: “Our results demonstrate the growing competitiveness of MACOM’s diverse product portfolio and our increasing momentum in the market.”
- CEO on Data Center ramps: “We recently transitioned our 200 Gs per lane photodiodes…into high volume production…[and] secured high volume production orders for 100 Gs per lane LPO chipsets.”
- CFO on near-term gross margin: “The acceleration of [RTP] transfer will result in some minor near term gross margin dilution of approximately 60 basis points…in Q4,” while enabling faster yield and capacity improvements .
- CEO on margin trajectory: Exit FY26 “closer to 59%…60% gross margin…more likely a fiscal 2027 event” .
Q&A Highlights
- RTP fab conveyance: Margin headwind (~60 bps) in Q4; then modeled 25–50 bps improvement per quarter post-Q4 as yield/cycle time/capacity enhancements flow through; capacity expansion underway (+30% in 12–15 months) .
- LPO adoption pipeline: One customer in production; second close; broader adoption expected into 2026; benefits are lower power, lower latency, lower cost sans DSP, but BER/interoperability challenges limit universal applicability .
- Telecom outlook: Slight Q/Q decline guided for Q4; secular drivers remain (Satcom, metro/long-haul coherent, 5G GaN share gains); full-year Telecom ~+40% Y/Y .
- DC 2026 setup: Do not model another ~48% DC growth; company targets double-digit top-line overall with diversified drivers (LPO, ACC, PDs, lasers), and bottom-line growing faster than top-line .
- Gross margin target cadence: 60% now expected FY27 (was earlier), with Lowell underutilization and RTP timing cited as factors .
Estimates Context
- Q3 FY25: MACOM modestly beat S&P Global consensus on revenue and adjusted EPS (see table above). Values retrieved from S&P Global.
- Q4 FY25 (context at guide): Consensus Revenue ~$260.2M*, EPS ~$0.93* sat near MACOM’s guidance midpoints (Revenue midpoint $260M; EPS midpoint $0.93), implying expectations aligned with management outlook despite the GM headwind . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Execution remains strong: Three straight quarters of sequential revenue and adjusted EPS growth with record backlog and >1.1x book-to-bill underpinning H2 momentum .
- Near-term margin dip, medium-term uptrend: Expect ~60 bps GM headwind in Q4 from early RTP conveyance, with GM progression improving into FY26 as yields/capacity rise; 60% GM more likely FY27 vs earlier expectations .
- Data Center mix broadening: 200G PDs at scale and first LPO production order diversify DC revenue; watch for continued ramp, though management tempers FY26 DC growth vs FY25’s ~48% pace .
- Telecom normalization with strong seculars: Minor Q4 sequential dip, but metro/long-haul coherent and SATCOM remain growth vectors; full-year Telecom growth ~+40% Y/Y highlights durability .
- IND/Defense leadership: Record IND driven by radar/EW and European demand via MESC; multiyear program content (GaN-on-SiC, RF-over-fiber) supports sustained growth .
- Capacity-driven upside optionality: RTP control and +30% planned capacity expansion create room for incremental share/program wins from FY26 onward .
- Cash optionality: $735M cash & ST investments; net cash >$235M vs converts; FY25 CFO outlook >$220M; FY25 capex raised to $40–$45M to accelerate RTP improvements .
Appendix: Additional context and disclosures
- Non-GAAP policy and adjustments include amortization, SBC, non-cash interest, acquisition/integration costs, loss on debt extinguishment, and related tax effects; non-GAAP tax rate 3% for FY24 and first three quarters of FY25 .
- RTP fab conveyance finalized Jul 25, 2025, six months ahead of schedule; facility is a U.S. DoD Trusted Foundry producing GaN-on-SiC RF processes for telecom and defense .
- Board change: Director Susan Ocampo retiring effective Aug 31, 2025 .
S&P Global disclaimer: Values marked with an asterisk (*) are retrieved from S&P Global and may reflect consensus at or around the time of reporting.